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HomeBusinessOfgem confirms quarterly update of energy price cap: 'Very tough winter ahead'.

Ofgem confirms quarterly update of energy price cap: ‘Very tough winter ahead’.

Ofgem asserts that the issue is mostly attributable to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, contrary to the assertions of critics who assert that future energy bill increases will lead to more suffering.

Ofgem has announced that the energy price cap would be adjusted quarterly, as opposed to every six months, and has warned that consumers risk a “very difficult winter.”

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Ofgem confirms quarterly update of energy price cap: 'very tough winter ahead'.

The energy regulator stated that the option to alter the energy price cap more frequently would ensure market stability and lower the likelihood of energy providers going bankrupt.

In the past year alone, dozens of suppliers have gone bankrupt, resulting in higher customer costs and criticism of Ofgem for not being severe enough on unfit businesses.

The next price cap level will be released at the end of August, and although updating the cap more frequently would allow customers to benefit from falling prices more quickly, it is unlikely that this will occur shortly.

This week, energy consultancy Cornwall Insight predicted that the average household’s annual cap would reach £3,359 in October and not dip below that level until at least the end of next year.

Ofgem confirms quarterly update of energy price cap: 'very tough winter ahead'.
Ofgem confirms quarterly update of energy price cap: 'very tough winter ahead'.

The price cap on energy bills, which regulates what 24 million British homes pay, will increase to £3,616 in January and to £3,729 in April, according to the government.

After that, it will begin to decline gradually, reaching £3,569 in July before dropping to £3,470 for the final three months of 2023.

In October of 2012, the limit was $1,277.

Jonathan Brearley, CEO of Ofgem, blamed Russia’s invasion of Ukraine for soaring wholesale energy costs.

He stated, “I am aware that this scenario causes great concern for many people. As a result of Russia’s activities, the volatility in the energy markets that we witnessed last winter has persisted for a far longer period, resulting in significantly higher prices than ever before.

Consequently, the cost of supplying homes with power and gas has climbed significantly.

The United Kingdom consumes only about 4 percent of its gas from Russia, but a decline in Russian gas exports to Europe has intensified competition and pushed up costs.

Extremely challenging trade-offs

Mr. Brearley stated, “The trade-offs we must make on behalf of customers are exceedingly challenging, and there are currently no simple solutions.

“Today’s amendments ensure the price limit does its job, ensuring that customers only pay the true cost of their energy, while also allowing it to respond to the turbulent market.

We will continue to work closely with the government, consumer groups, and energy providers to determine what additional support can be provided to assist with these price increases.

Increased misery and overwhelming anxiety

Peter Smith, director of policy and advocacy for National Energy Action, stated, “January is also typically a time of increased mental health issues, and further increases in energy bills will sadly lead to increased misery and enormous anxiety for energy consumers across the United Kingdom, especially for the poorest households.

It is regrettable that Ofgem has not taken these concerns into account. They may have exercised their judgment to avert this undesirable outcome by initiating reforms in April when energy demand begins to decline.

This modification also bolsters the rising calls for more price protection for the poorest households, which Ofgem may and must support.

Government assistance may not be sufficient to keep many afloat’

Gillian Cooper, head of energy policy at Citizens Advice, stated, “The cost of supplier failures is added to all of our bills. Changing to a quarterly price restriction should reduce the possibility of further suppliers failing, which is a positive development. However, our bills are already astronomically high and continue to rise.

“The government was correct to provide financial assistance to citizens, but it may not be sufficient to keep many families afloat. It must be prepared to act once more before the onset of winter.

“Ofgem must ensure that suppliers assist customers with payment difficulties. It should hold energy companies accountable so that consumers who cannot pay their bills are not pursued by debt collectors or forced to use prepayment meters.

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