- Small chance of Christmas snow
- Uncertainty in festive weather
- Regional focus on precipitation
Forecasters acknowledge considerable ambiguity about festive conditions two weeks before Christmas. Initial signs suggest snowfall will likely be confined to hills.
According to forecasters, there is a “small chance” of wintry weather for parts of the United Kingdom at the end of the year. However, rain appears more probable for many regions on Christmas Day.
In the days preceding Christmas, the Met Office forecasts unpredictably fluctuating conditions and seasonal average temperatures.
Precipitation is most likely to fall in the North West through Christmas week.
Nonetheless, the Met Office predicts the likelihood of snow and ice accumulations will increase from late December to early January.
Christopher England stated the festive season forecast is “extremely uncertain” two weeks away. He added: A white Christmas away from Scottish highlands is highly improbable.
Additionally, there is a slight possibility something more frigid may materialize between December and January.
As Christmas approaches, Mr. England predicted the coming days would be “basically unsettled” before a “calmer, drier spell” over the weekend and into next week.
This will increase the likelihood of fog and frost in the south, particularly the southeast. He added that precipitation is probable in portions of the northwest.
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According to the Met Office’s long-range forecast, Scotland will likely remain in a “more wet and windy regime” this weekend. However, most locations are expected to experience some degree of calm.
The forecast indicates a possibility of a resurgence to turbulent conditions and generally average temperatures in the days leading up to Christmas Eve.
While the Met Office acknowledges an increased probability of precipitation and ice during the New Year’s period, it further predicts that “overall conditions are more likely to remain generally mild and wet.”
The United Kingdom began December with a festive atmosphere due to low temperatures and, in some regions, snow and ice.
When was the last pristine Christmas in the United Kingdom?
According to the Met Office, 2022 was “technically” a white Christmas.
This was because while 9% of its weather stations documented snowfall, none reported snow on the ground.
White Christmas was last “widespread” in the United Kingdom in 2010.
The Met Office website states it was exceedingly unusual, as snow or sleet fell at 19% of stations in addition to the 83% of stations that received snow on the ground (the highest amount ever recorded).
