- Tropical storm Nadine may impact Florida within ten days
- Nadine has a 60% chance of becoming a hurricane, says NHC
- Florida is still recovering from hurricanes Helene and Milton
Another hurricane might hit Florida in the coming week as tropical storm ‘Nadine’ travels through the Atlantic.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) published an update Monday at 8 a.m. ET indicated that the storm had a 50 percent probability of becoming a hurricane, but the odds had grown to 60 percent by 2 p.m. ET.
Meteorologists said Nadine’s path is still being tracked. It may impact Florida within the next ten days or follow a different route to Mexico and Central America.
This comes only days after Hurricanes Helene and Milton devastated the southeast coast, causing heavy flooding and tornadoes from Florida to North Carolina.
‘The system is predicted to continue generally westward toward warmer waters, and environmental circumstances may become more conducive for progressive development by the middle to late portion of this week,’ the NHC stated in the 2 pm ET report.
The tropical depression is several hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands, but it may gradually develop into a hurricane when it approaches warmer waters near Florida.
The NHC had classified the storm, technically known as ‘Invest 94L,’ as a disturbance but has recently upgraded it to a tropical depression when its surface winds reached 38 miles per hour, causing cyclones in the Atlantic.
When a depression approaches warmer waters, it brings damaging rain and thunderstorms, causing major flooding. If its winds exceed 74 mph, it can become a hurricane.
It is uncertain when or if the tropical storm will officially become a hurricane, but meteorologists closely monitor it as it nears the shore.
The NCH also stated that the storm has a 10% chance of developing into a hurricane within the next 48 hours.
According to AccuWeather meteorologist Alex DaSilva, the storm will need to be monitored for the next few days, although it is unlikely to become a hurricane.
As the storm travels across the Virgin Islands, the mountains may impede its progress.
He also stated, “There is a low chance of direct impact on the US because there is wind shear that may protect us.
Wind shear refers to strong upper-level winds that can take heat and moisture from a hurricane’s eye and deform its shape, ultimately ripping it apart.
If the storm grows into something more significant, DaSilva believes it will not occur until October 17-18, and they won’t know which route it will take until then.
I don’t think it would impact us at all,’ he said, adding that “it will either be pushed out to sea or nothing left by the time it gets to the United States.
However, the storm is still a long way off, and if it does hit the United States, it won’t be for another ten days,’ so things can still change,’ DaSilva stated.
The storm’s strength is determined by how long it remains over water, which may allow it to grow and develop into a hurricane.
‘One scenario would push the system westward into Central America and southern Mexico, and the other is, sadly, into Florida,’ DaSilva said in an AccuWeather forecast.
If the tropical depression advances into Central America, it will have less time to strengthen; however, if it turns northward near the Gulf of Mexico, it may provide the climate necessary for growth.
“Not only are the waters very warm in this area—well into the 80s Fahrenheit down deep—but the ocean heat content in the western Caribbean is at record high levels for any time of year,” DaSilva stated in the research.
The impending storm comes as Florida continues to recover from Hurricane Milton, which slammed Tampa and swept throughout the state last week, causing fatal tornadoes.
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At least 17 people were killed in Florida, and the state is still analyzing the financial toll, but the damages are expected to be in the billions.
Milton also arrived two weeks after Hurricane Helene, which had flooded states along the southeast coast.
According to CoreLogic, Helene caused between $30.5 billion and $47.5 billion in total damage across 16 states and has killed over 230 people, with countless others still missing.
This year has already experienced above-average hurricane activity. In mid-October, four significant storms, including Beryl, Helene, Kirk, and Milton, impacted the United States.
In May, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) anticipated an above-average hurricane season in the United States, with four to seven Category 3 or higher hurricanes striking.
So far, the prognosis has come true, with temperatures exceeding historical averages in mid-October.
The hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30.
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